North Carolina vs. Virginia prediction, odds, line: 2022 ACC Tournament picks, best bets from a proven model


The No. 25-ranked North Carolina Tar Heels are aiming to stay warm Thursday night as they take on the Virginia Cavaliers in the quarterfinals of the 2022 ACC Tournament at Barclays Center. The Tar Heels (23-8, 15-5) have won 11 of their last 13 games and earned a huge 94-81 victory at Duke on Saturday. They outplayed arch-rival Blue Devils in Mike Krzyzewski’s last game at Cameron Indoor Stadium, and they have a powerful offense that will test Virginia’s solid defense. The Cavaliers (19-12, 12-8) failed that test in the regular season game in January, losing 74-58, but they’re playing better now and held off Louisville 51-50 Wednesday night.

Tipoff in Brooklyn, NY is scheduled for 9:30 p.m. ET. Caesars Sportsbook lists the Tar Heels as four-point favorites in the latest Virginia vs. North Carolina odds, while the over-under for total runs scored is set at 130. Before making picks between North Carolina and Virginia, be sure to check out the college basketball predictions and SportsLine projection model betting tips.

The model simulates every Division I college basketball game 10,000 times. Over the past five-plus years, the proprietary computer model has generated an impressive profit of nearly $1,600 for $100 players on its top picks. college basketball against the spread. Everyone who followed him saw huge returns.

Now, the model has set its sights on UNC vs. UVA, and has just revealed its picks and CBB predictions. You can visit SportsLine now to see the model choices. Here are the college basketball odds and betting lines for UVA vs. UNC:

  • Gap between North Carolina and Virginia: Tar Heels -4
  • North Carolina vs. Virginia over-under: 130 points
  • Silver line North Carolina vs. Virginia: Cavaliers +160, Tar Heels -190
  • UVA: It’s 16-14 ATS this season, 6-5 as an underdog.
  • UNC: It’s 12-7-1 ATS this season in conference play.

Featured Game | North Carolina Tar Heels vs. Virginia Cavaliers

Why North Carolina Can Cover

The favorite is 12-4 ATS in the last 16 meetings, and the Tar Heels dominated the last game. Armando Bacot went for 29 points and 21 rebounds as UVA’s big men searched in vain for answers. That’s the most rebounds the Cavaliers have given up since Wake Forest’s Tim Duncan had 23 in a 1997 game. The 6-foot-10 Bacot is third in the nation with a rebound of 12.5 points per game and a team-high 16.6 point average. He had 23 against Duke and was one of four UNC players in the top 20, the first time that had happened in program history.

Caleb Love scored 22 points against Duke, while RJ Davis had 21 and Brady Manek added 20. Manek hit five of 10 3-pointers and also had 11 rebounds. The Tar Heels have covered in four of their last five games. Only one of their wins this season has been less than seven points. The 3-point shot should play a huge role in the outcome of this game. UVA didn’t make a single three on Wednesday and is shooting 34.6% (240th nationally), while UNC hits 37.4% (31st). The Heels hit 44% and made 11 threes in the last meeting.

Why Virginia can cover

Virginia had won seven straight in the series before that January loss, and it’s 8-0 ATS in its last eight after a loss to the ATS. He will work hard to slow down the tempo against the top performing heels, and that has been effective this season. He ranks last in Division I at adjusted tempo (59.8 possession per 40 minutes), according to KenPom, while the Tar Heels are 40th (70.5). It’s a big reason the Cavaliers rank 12th in the nation in point defense, allowing 60.4 points per game. They have won seven of their last 10, covering the spread each time.

Francisco Caffaro (7-foot-1) and Kadin Shedrick (6-11) have the size to battle Bacot, and the Cavs are a better team than they were last meeting. They beat Duke just over a month ago and then lost by four in a rematch a few weeks later. They had back-to-back wins over Louisville, allowing just 111 points over the two games. Jayden Gardner is the top scorer with 15.3 points per game and averaging 6.8 rebounds. Kihei Clark can get hot from 3 points and is shooting 36.6% from outside averaging 10.4 points and 4.2 assists.

How to make choices between Virginia and North Carolina

SportsLine’s model looks at the total, projecting the teams to combine for 135 points. It also indicates that one side of the gap hits more than 60% of the time. You can only get the model choice at SportsLine.

So who wins UNC vs. Virginia? And which side of the spread hits more than 60% of the time? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the spread to jump to, all from the advanced model that has risen nearly $1,600 on its top-rated college basketball spread picks over the past five-plus years. , and find out.


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