Baylor vs. North Carolina prediction, odds: 2022 NCAA Tournament picks, top model’s March Madness best bets


The top-seeded Baylor Bears continue their quest to defend their men’s national basketball title on Saturday when they take on the No. 8-seeded North Carolina Tar Heels in a second-round match of the tournament. NCAA 2022. Tipoff is scheduled for 12:10 a.m. ET from Dickies Arena in Fort Worth, Texas in the East Region showdown. Neither club encountered much resistance advancing to the knockout stages as the Bears, who won their first national championship in program history last year, cruised to an 85-49 win over the No. 16 Norfolk State on Thursday. The Tar Heels dominated from the start in their 95-63 blowout against No. 9-seeded Marquette in the first round.

The Bears are the 5.5-point favorite and the total points scored are 149 in Caesars Sportsbook’s latest Baylor vs. North Carolina. Before making any Baylor vs. North Carolina picks in the 2022 NCAA Tournament, be sure to check out the college basketball predictions and betting tips from the SportsLine Projection Model.

The SportsLine projection model simulates every Division I college basketball game 10,000 times. best college basketball picks against the spread. Everyone who followed him saw huge returns.

Now, the model has set his sights on UNC vs. Baylor and revealed his coveted picks and predictions for the 2022 NCAA Tournament. You can head to SportsLine now to see all of the model’s college basketball picks. Here are several Baylor vs. UNC college basketball odds and betting lines:

  • Points difference between Baylor and North Carolina: Baylor -5.5
  • Baylor vs. North Carolina total over-under: 149 points
  • Baylor vs. North Carolina money line: Baylor -250, North Carolina +200
  • UNC: Tar Heels are 6-1-1 ATS in last eight games against opponents with winning records
  • BAY: The Bears have covered five straight NCAA Tournament games as favorites

Why Baylor can cover

In their first-round win, the Bears (27-6) showed the same blend of supreme athleticism and lockdown defense that saw them cut the nets in last year’s NCAA Tournament. They built a double-digit lead early in the first half and never looked back, holding the Spartans to 31.6% shooting from the field and forcing 15 turnovers.

The Bears were upset with Oklahoma in the Big 12 tournament, but saw no lingering effects from that stale performance. Baylor used a balanced effort that saw five players score in double figures and eight players save in double figures within minutes. The Bears shot 58% from the field and had 24 assists on their 31 field goals. They also held a 38-29 rebounding advantage. The defending national champions picked up blowout wins over Villanova, Michigan State and Stanford before going 14-4 in the Big 12 to tie Kansas for the conference’s best record.

Why North Carolina Can Cover

North Carolina’s first-round burst brought an element of surprise as he was just a 3.5-point favorite over Marquette in what is a historically competitive matchup between the No. 8 seeds and 9 of the NCAA Tournament. Instead, the late-blooming Tar Heels (25-9) looked like the championship-caliber clubs of previous years and built a 14-point lead midway through the first half en route to a dominating victory. Leading hitter Brady Manek warmed up early and led the way with 28 points, 11 rebounds and three assists. Sophomore goaltender Caleb Love scored 23 points and made six 3-pointers.

Many college basketball watchers expected something of a transitional season for the Tar Heels in their freshman year under coach Herbert Davis, the former standout player who took over the program after the retirement of longtime coach Roy Williams last year. North Carolina struggled early in the season but thrived over time to win eight of its last 10 regular season games and secure a spot in the NCAA Tournament.

How to make choices between Baylor and North Carolina

SportsLine’s model looks at total points, projecting a combined 148 points. The model also indicates that one side of the spread hits in more than 50% of simulations. You can only see the North Carolina model pick against Baylor on SportsLine.

So who wins Baylor against North Carolina? And which side of the gap hits in more than 50% of the simulations? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the spread you need to jump on Saturday, all from the model who crushed his college basketball picks, and find out.


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